Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.575922 3.800843 4.042120 4.321900 4.639624 4.991963 5.416164
2025-05-11 3.298002 3.608734 3.961258 4.396944 4.930075 5.574338 6.434068
2025-05-18 3.045807 3.406063 3.832714 4.387841 5.111936 6.058727 7.459353
2025-05-25 2.787243 3.165136 3.626710 4.250805 5.106638 6.301518 8.241646
2025-06-01 2.610519 3.005435 3.501514 4.196859 5.198120 6.693771 9.388656
2025-06-08 2.469520 2.876946 3.401424 4.160763 5.305219 7.132628 10.816089
2025-06-15 2.369707 2.792210 3.349198 4.182110 5.498305 7.759449 12.981579
2025-06-22 2.246731 2.667260 3.230525 4.091640 5.498620 8.050684 14.641299
2025-06-29 2.122807 2.532997 3.088407 3.950614 5.393152 8.116534 15.806003
2025-07-06 2.029909 2.435406 2.990925 3.867865 5.374352 8.352944 17.757178
2025-07-13 2.006746 2.431661 3.026429 3.995253 5.746803 9.552699 25.224416
2025-07-20 1.969945 2.406070 3.027200 4.065511 6.026711 10.675250 36.757258
2025-07-27 1.939060 2.392316 3.052363 4.193969 6.483682 12.663546 82.054733
2025-08-03 1.891101 2.351355 3.033328 4.245460 6.801753 14.580232 442.519344
2025-08-10 1.830864 2.289160 2.976789 4.223735 6.955955 16.142056 NaN
2025-08-17 1.751821 2.195336 2.864231 4.087394 6.811532 16.392679 NaN
2025-08-24 1.695061 2.132348 2.797608 4.031526 6.858127 17.649024 NaN
2025-08-31 1.646289 2.079123 2.743518 3.994188 6.946431 19.324616 NaN
2025-09-07 1.611355 2.045185 2.718777 4.011353 7.187271 22.465936 NaN
2025-09-14 1.560392 1.984517 2.646122 3.925792 7.123590 23.507119 NaN
2025-09-21 1.504353 1.914120 2.554001 3.793875 6.904213 23.078020 NaN
2025-09-28 1.461109 1.862103 2.490630 3.716298 6.833821 23.956822 NaN
2025-10-05 1.453875 1.865453 2.520784 3.833979 7.383286 33.041816 NaN